Starting to get into Breakout mode again and realized that we never put a pretty little bow on the Breakout Tracker at the end of this past season, so here you are...
As promised in the Breakout Bible, we're monitoring our breakout predictions and breakout players all year long... so here's the final edition of the Breakout Tracker for 2008/09.
Attached is a file which gives you our Top 50 Breakout Candidates from the Breakout Bible 2008 and tracks how our pre-season predictions fared, and also how some of our peers stack up. We base this on final 2008/09 stats nd compare that to the predictions.
We strive to give you the best information and analysis we possibly can, so in the spreadsheet we've noted the picks as follows:
Good Picks (within 10% of a player's projected points) = Shaded Green
Decent Picks (between 10% & 20%) = Shaded White
Poor Picks (outside of 20%) = Shaded Red
Remember that most fantasy hockey websites will consider being within 10 or 20 points as being a good prediction (that is if they even publish how their picks are doing) but we think you deserve better so we're raising the bar.
We also provide you with a list of the top breakout players for 2008/09. Remember that our definition of a breakout player is a forward that breaks 50 points for the first time, a dman who breaks 30 points for the first time or a goalie who establishes themselves as a starting goalie for the first time.
We're feeling a little "half glass full" about our picks as there was a lot of room for improvement but that being said... we did outperform the competition. Also, take a look at the sheet and you'll see that we were the guys who predicted that players like David Krejci, Joe Pavelski, Alex Edler and Cam Barker would breakout while all the other guys weren't even close. Now when you stick your head out there sometimes you're going to get hurt and so we feel bad that we led you astray on guys like Nigel Dawes, Patric Hornqvist, and Teddy Purcell... maybe next year, right?
Get the Breakout Tracker xls sheet for free right here... Download Breakout Tracker_Final09