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Let’s Talk Fantasy Goalies

Flavor of the week Brian Elliott...it won't last long

 

Hi again, everyone. You and I know there is not a more important position to look deeply into than goaltending; mostly because a team can only choose one goalie to start a game. Even if they choose a different guy for the next game…and then change back. Let’s look at some goalie situations that are actually worth talking about after the jump.

Star-divide

Washington Capitals: Tomas Vokoun (starter) vs Michal Neuvirth (challenger)

At the time of my last post, Tomas Vokoun owners were uncomfortable at best and on the ledge at worst.  He sat in favor of Neuvirth in the opener, which Neuvy won. Then when he started the next game, he gave up 5 goals to Tampa Bay (a couple were real weak) and only got the win because Dwayne Roloson misplaced his ageless cream and realized that he’s 42. Surely Neuvirth would get the following game. Well one bruised foot and the Caps had to go to Vokoun. Since the 5 goal clunker, he’s started 5 games posting a 5-0-0 record with 1 shutout while posting a 1.20 GAA and a .965 Save %. We can only imagine what would be if Neuvirth didn’t get hurt. At this point, Neuvirth owners have to hope for him to get healthy while Vokoun simultaneously gets shelled in 4 straight games. I’d say the chances of that happening are slim. Vokoun owners can rest easy.

Tampa Bay Lightning: Dwayne Roloson (starter) vs Mathieu Garon (challenger)

Ugly, ugly, ugly. Roloson started the opener with a 5-1 win, posting 32 saves. Since then, he’s given up 5, 5, and 7 goals in his next 3 starts. It’s good for a .858 Save % and an unsightly 5.11 GAA. As a results of this, Mathieu Garon has started 4 games, and mopped up for Roloson in one. In those games he’s 2-1-1 with a 1.51 GAA and .948 Save %. It’s probably being too hasty to say that Roloson has lost his position as the starter. He played so well last year that the Lightning owe it to him to allow him to sort things out. But as I mentioned earlier, Roloson is 42. At some point he has to fall apart altogether and this may be the warning signs. If I was counting heavily on Roloson, I would have Garon picked up already undoubtedly. Garon’s been the better goalie. We should get a better idea within the next 2 weeks as to how Guy Boucher wants to play this situation.

St. Louis Blues: Jaroslav Halak (starter) vs Brian Elliott (challenger)

This might be the most interesting goalie situation at this moment. Halak has been bad. There’s no way to sugarcoat it. He’s 1-4-0 and even though he hasn’t let in any more than 4 goals in a game (3.47 GAA), his Save % is awful (.835). The interesting thing here is that he’s just not seeing many shots. His shots against per game have been: 15, 17, 24, 23, and 18. He was seeing 26.6 shots per game last season when he flourished. Brian Elliott, on the other hand is 3-0 with a 2.06 GAA and .935 Save %. There was a time when Elliott was thought to be the future of the Senators. He was given his shot and was downright awful. He was equally awful for the Avalanche after the trade last season. Sometimes it takes goalies a while to figure it out. Unfortunately for Elliott, the leash is short. All it takes is one bad game to turn things back to normal. This makes Halak a great trade target. He’s just a little rusty but I’m confident that he’ll come around.

Los Angeles Kings: Jonathan Quick (starter) vs Jonathan Bernier

It was a swift knockout punch by Quick in the form of 3 shutouts with a 5-0-1 record and Bernier was dropped…then subsequently dropped by many fantasy teams. Bernier was a popular late round flyer on the off-chance that this was his season to overtake Quick for the starting job. Well to this point, Bernier has only gotten into one game and he lost, allowing 4 goals. Is it possible that he starts even less than last season (22 games)? It sure seems like it. That means he isn’t worth a roster spot in any non-keeper leagues. Make the drop, guys and gals.

Columbus Blue Jackets: Steve Mason (starter) vs Any Warm Body That Owns Goalie Equipment (challenger)

Mason has been bad. There’s no other way to put it. He’s posted a 0-7-1 record with a 3.53 GAA and a .878 Save % while starting all 8 CBJ games. One thing you could say for the kid is that he hasn’t allowed more than 4 goals in any game. He’s also allowed less than 3 only once, so at least he’s consistent. This would have been a great time for Mark Dekanich to be healthy but he’s on the IR. Curtis Sanford was the backup but he’s out with a groin injury. 22 year old Allen York was called up even though he, too, is recovering from an injury. Apparently he’s "healthy enough to be the backup". It looks like Mason will be given more undeserved time to try not to suck. I’d still be hanging onto Dekanich if I had an open IR spot. He CAN’T be worse than Mason.

Florida Panthers: Jose Theodore (starter) vs Jacob Markstrom (challenger)

Theodore has been admirable; definitely better than I expected. He’s 3-2-0 with a .913 and 2.63 GAA with 1 shutout through 5 and 2/3 games. He was pulled after 2 periods on Saturday night (10/22) with an LBI. Markstrom played well in the first game he started this season, a 3-0 loss to the Caps, turning away 29 of 31 shots. He also got the win coming in relief of Theodore and stopping all 18 shots that the Isles threw at him. Then, the sexiest of his performances, he stopped 40 shots in a 2-1 win over the Canadiens. If you’re starved for goaltending this is certainly a situation worth monitoring. If Theodore’s injury nags and Markstrom plays well, how could they not let the 21 year old play? They did spend a second round draft pick on him in 2008.

New Jersey Devils: Martin Brodeur (starter) vs Johan Hedberg (challenger)

Brodeur lasted a game and 1/3 until he got injured. He’s supposedly out only 7-10 days with a shoulder. Hedberg has been great in his absence to the tune of 3-1-1, 2.24 GAA and .923 Save %. With what Brodeur means to the Devils, it’s highly doubtful that any other goalie would be the starter while he still has the ability to stand on 2 legs. That being said, Hedberg could see time at a 40/60 clip even when and if Brodeur does get healthy. There are worse goalies to own than Hedberg.

Edmonton Oilers: Nikolai Khabibulin (starter) vs Devan Dubnyk (challenger)

At this point, you have to say that Khabibulin is the starter. He’s started 4 games and has not lost in regulation. His 0.72 GAA and .969 Save % are sparkling. Dubnyk has played well, too, but he hasn’t had the same results going 1-2-0. Tom Renney obviously wants to win games and give the Oilers fans something to cheer about. He’ll go with Khabibulin for the most part until he’s given a reason not to. Khabibulin is only owned in 28% of Yahoo! leagues as of now. Go out and grab him so you can ride the wave with me…until it crashes at least. 

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Mason...

“…vs Any Warm Body That Owns Goalie Equipment.(challenger)” Awesome. :)

Great piece MB.

by jsuites on Oct 25, 2011 10:58 AM EDT reply actions  

top choice

nice piece, Mike.
and VERY timely. thanks.

aside from Dexshow (who seems like a slam dunk at this point with how poorly Mason has played) which of the “challengers” do you think represents the best addition?

and by that i mean, has the best chance to:
a) win the starting gig (or at least get a LOT of starts), and
b) perform well when he does start.

Dubnyk?
Garon?
Bernier (via trade)?
Markstrom?
someone else?

by Diomedes7 on Oct 25, 2011 11:10 AM EDT reply actions  

Great question, Dio. Can I take another 2 weeks to answer it?

For just this season I’d say Dubnyk has the chance at the most playing time from that list. Bernier probably has the most talent but he’s not lucky enough to get traded this season. Markstrom worries me from a standpoint of when Clemmer comes back, he may get sent down.

by Michael Benedicks on Oct 25, 2011 2:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

cool. i agree on Dubnyk. Khabby started strong last year, too and then the wheels came off. it’s a matter of time.

Garon w/ another strong game tonight against a juggernaut Sabres attack.

Clemmer doesn’t worry me. Tallon, however…who knows what will happen down there. I just know that Markstrom has been ridonkulous so far.

LA is gunning for a Cup. they traded Brayden Schenn—something they said they would never do—so Bernier could be moved. Martin Jones was great last year and started even HOTTER this year, so maybe, but I agree—not likely.

by Diomedes7 on Oct 25, 2011 10:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

Great stuff Mike. Especially the prudent advice on the Blues… enjoy it while it lasts for Elliott but all it takes is one rough outing or a minor injury and Halak could re-establish himself and go on a run.

SBN Fantasy Hockey Blog: Fantasy Hockey Scouts

by Cam Collingwood on Oct 25, 2011 11:25 AM EDT reply actions  

Markstrom was otherworldly in Montreal. Vokoun couldn’t have won that game.

Litter Box Cats - Your tarp-free Florida Panthers Colossus

by Donny Rivette on Oct 25, 2011 11:57 AM EDT reply actions  

Donny is lovin life right now… even gets a shot at Vokoun in there.

SBN Fantasy Hockey Blog: Fantasy Hockey Scouts

by Cam Collingwood on Oct 25, 2011 12:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

+1 —>> “otherworldly”

by Diomedes7 on Oct 25, 2011 10:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

Great piece Mike. Allow me to mention another goalie situation worth keeping an eye on:

Vancouver Canucks: Roberto Luongo (starter) vs Corey Schneider (challenger)

I have Schneider on my roster and everytime he plays, I’m almost guaranteed a win since he usually faces weaker teams. And if Luongo struggles, could the Canucks trade him away and make Schneider their man? :)

by Dikoi on Oct 25, 2011 4:54 PM EDT reply actions  

They’re more likely to trade Schneider than LOLuongo being they’re a win-now team. Either way, it would be great news for anyone vested in Schneider.

by Michael Benedicks on Oct 25, 2011 5:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

Canucks aren’t trading either unless they get into a really bad situation. Maybe in the off-season.

Can’t trade Luongo because of his contract. Can’t trade Schneider because you need a good backup for Luongo.

The lineup is pretty stacked so it’s not like they have any major holes to fill.

Fantasy Hockey Scouts: a fantasy hockey blog on SB Nation
 

by jaymeyer on Oct 25, 2011 6:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Poor Mason.

I actually though this kid would be special, he has done nothing but struggle ill be it on a bad team but still.

by Jt Malley on Oct 25, 2011 9:09 PM EDT reply actions  

Despite suffering through Elliot in the beginning of last season, I grabbed him off the wire in one of my leagues last night. Hope he can ride out this hot streak for a little bit.

by A_Train on Oct 26, 2011 8:59 AM EDT reply actions  

Is it possible that he starts even less than last season (22 games)? It sure seems like it

I would guess the same amount of starts. Quick starts off hot, Bernier takes a while to get into a groove.

The Kings also saw Quick fade badly over the stretch in the 2009-2010 season, and ever since they’ve said repeatedly that they learned it’s important not to over-work him.

Dinglebarnin' It JftC

by Niesy on Oct 28, 2011 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

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