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Fantasy Top Ten - Over and Under Performers in Shooting Percentage

We know you fantasy owners love a good list so we put together a whole whack of them in both our Fantasy Scouting Report and our Breakout Bible.

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Today's list....Shooting Percentage - Over & Under Performers

Shooting Percentages do not normally fluctuate a great deal from year to year, so by taking a look at the guys who are well above or below their recent trends (last three years) we might be able to see a breakout or breakdown coming.

The table below shows you the seven players who were the ‘luckiest' and the 10 players who were the ‘unluckiest'

Name 

Sh% 2010

Sh% 3 Year
Average

Sh% Diff

OVER-PERFORMERS

Sergei Kostitsyn

24.7%

16.8%

7.9%

Lauri Korpikoski

18.4%

12.8%

5.6%

Marek Zidlicky

13.2%

7.9%

5.3%

Drew Stafford

17.3%

12.0%

5.3%

Max Pacioretty

12.5%

8.2%

4.3%

Corey Perry

17.2%

12.9%

4.3%

Chris Kunitz

17.3%

13.3%

4.0%

UNDER-PERFORMERS

Steve Downie

12.0%

15.6%

-3.6%

Peter Regin

3.4%

7.4%

-4.0%

Michael Frolik

4.4%

8.4%

-4.0%

Marc-Andre Bergeron

5.4%

9.7%

-4.3%

Ryan Malone

9.4%

13.7%

-4.3%

Michael Del Zotto

3.4%

7.9%

-4.5%

Michal Repik 

3.7%

8.3%

-4.6%

Matt Stajan

7.4%

12.2%

-4.8%

Zach Parise

6.1%

11.3%

-5.2%

Chris Drury

3.8%

9.4%

-5.6%

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Can't believe people are so high on S. Kostitsyn this year

Even his “last 3 year average” of 16.8% is insanely high and likely to regress. Between the 08-09 and 09-10 season his sh% was a much more reasonable 11.4%. Had he have shot at that level in Nashville instead of the ridiculously lucky pace he had last year he’d have scored 10 goals – and then nobody would be talking about drafting him this year. With few PPP, PIM and no Hits/Blocks he’s a 2 (maybe 3) stat player who’s likely to regress.

Its tough being a Vikings fan.

by jglass79 on Oct 7, 2011 8:02 PM EDT reply actions  

Completely agree. Unless he starts shooting more I have trouble seeing him break 50.

Fantasy Hockey Scouts: a fantasy hockey blog on SB Nation
 

by jaymeyer on Oct 7, 2011 8:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

MAB

Picked him up to replace Markov on my IR and he had a PPA. If he plays on the PP, he’s worth owning, but will there be instances where they don’t even bother to dress him?

by Michael Benedicks on Oct 7, 2011 11:24 PM EDT reply actions  

We’ve (mostly Cam) have been big fans of him in the past but I think he’s getting off of the fantasy radar now.

He’s got the potential, but based on how the Bolts used him last year I can’t see him contributing too much.

Decent bench player in deep league but I wouldn’t want to be starting him all the time.

Fantasy Hockey Scouts: a fantasy hockey blog on SB Nation
 

by jaymeyer on Oct 8, 2011 8:47 AM EDT up reply actions  

I’d be hesitant on MAB. Yes hes a power play specialist, but after looking at last nights stats he isn’t getting much PP time. Looks like the Top PP unit was St. Louis/Stamkos/Malone/Lecav/Brewer. Bergeron only played 1min 45s on the powerplay (Brewer had over twice the amount). The good news is he did play as a defenceman instead of a 4th line forward/7th D and had over 16 minutes played (his average last year was around 14). Even with more time on regular strength I can’t see him being very valuable as a 2nd unit PP player.

Its tough being a Vikings fan.

by jglass79 on Oct 8, 2011 9:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

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