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Up for Debate: Blake Comeau Trade

            I made an interesting trade today that I have been in negotiation with another "GM" over the weekend and I figured I would put it up for debate here at FHS. Here's the deal:

To me: Blake Comeau and Gilbert Brule

To him: Jake Gardiner, 4th round 2012 pick

As of right now, I have lost this deal, but I am thinking long term for multiple reasons. Those reasons are after the jump if you're still interested.

Star-divide

This league is run by a group of volunteers and operates out of a fanboard-type setup. It's completely custom and the best league I've ever been apart of because it mirrors the NHL more closely than other fantasy leagues. We have custom contracts, a salary cap, waivers, roster number limits, minor league and prospect rights setup - just about everything basically. The more you treat your team like a real club the better you do - and I've done pretty well since taking my team over nearly two years ago (here are a history of my transactions).

So, with that said, why did I make this deal? Well I'll try to keep it concise, but here we go:

1) I have both Cody Franson and Jake Gardiner on my roster and they are competing against each other - I don't like this. I think in the end Franson will settle down in Toronto and show just how valuable he really is as he showed in Nashville. Losing Gardiner is tough - but he's still so young and there is a high chance there will be growing pains going forward - and I'm looking to win now. My defensive depth is fine (Franson and Yannick Weber now on the bench) and I have Justin Faulk, Derek Forbort, and Stefan Elliot waiting in the prospect pipeline.

2) Unless somehow Blake Comeau lost all his offensive talent overnight there is just no way he can keep playing this bad. He's on a one-year contract in real life and in this fantasy league, so until he picks it up I'm just going to stash him in the minors. When he does I think I will start to win the deal (I am highly doubful he stays this ice cold) or if he plays really bad all year I will most likely just re-sign him on the cheap for a one year deal and hopefully he can bounce back in a different location next season.

3) A fourth round pick would most likely yield me an actual NHL high 3rd round pick - I never trade my first or second rounders (unless its to move down and receive a prospect) and I would have to watch that prospect just sit around for a while when I'm trying to win now (currently 4-2 tied for 2nd place after six weeks).

4) Gilbert Brule was tossed in as extra because the other GM needed roster space and I had some to spare. While he's got a lot of players in front of him, he's still young and has a decent projected scoring ceiling and his underlying advanced stats show that he hasn't really played all that bad so far in his career. He's on a cheap 2 year/1.1 Million contract and will be in the minors for now.

Will I see results for this trade? Of course not anytime soon - but I'm playing the odds on buy-low long-term success here. Absolute worst case: Comeau stinks all year, Brule never gets called up, Gardiner puts up 40 pts (he was on my bench to begin with - I had Alzner, Hjalmarsson, Yandle, Phaneuf, Foster, Suter, and Burns in front of him) and that pick ends up being the next Datsyuk. I can't predict all of that now - and I doubt its gonna happen that way anyhow.

So, what does everyone think?

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I don’t know… I’ve never been much of a Comeau fan and while he can’t be this bad all year, he doesn’t have a track record of putting up a lot of points (in Jr, AHL or NHL) so I don’t see a ton of upside here. I think it’s quite possible his 24+22=46 last year was his peak.

I can see your reasoning for moving Gardiner but it seems like you should have got more back.

I didn’t like it to start and like it even less that you said you were trying to win now…. seems like Gardiner could help you more this year whereas Comeau could be an investment for the future.

But it shows balls, so good luck to you.

SBN Fantasy Hockey Blog: Fantasy Hockey Scouts

by Cam Collingwood on Nov 20, 2011 6:07 PM EST reply actions  

Clarity

Let me clarify that I’m always trying to look down the road as well. I think it Comeau wakes up it’ll help the win now – I actually don’t know reading this over why I originally mentioned that attitude haha.

Gardiner was expendable as he was on the outside looking in. Comeau gives me more forward depth – something I need.

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by Rob L on Nov 20, 2011 7:05 PM EST up reply actions  

“Well I’ll try to keep it concise” CONCISE FAIL.

I’m not much of a Comeau fan either and Brule is useless. I’d rather have the upside of Gardiner than those two scrubs.

Some silly Leaf fan would no doubt overpay for Gardiner.

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by jaymeyer on Nov 20, 2011 8:51 PM EST reply actions  

Rob, the league sounds doubleplus cool.
And it sounds like you’ve been very successful and have great depth and a great pipeline, so that makes me want to trust you on this.

That said, I agree w/ the other comments on Comeau.
Never liked the dude.
I like Gardy’s upside.
So, i’d rather be on the other side. Esp. w/ also getting a pick (and ridding myself of Gilbert Creme Brule).

by Diomedes7 on Nov 20, 2011 11:30 PM EST reply actions  

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