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Analyze my roster

I guess I should start with a disclaimer that no hamsters, gerbils, guinea pigs or rodents of any type were harmed in the creation of this post.

It also is longer than the bible so I don't blame you if you want to quit now.

Star-divide

1st year of a very deep 16 team Yahoo! keeper league. End of season we can choose any 12 to keep with no restrictions.

The GWG and Hits were a last minute add (by popular opinion presumably) a couple days prior to the draft.

Something I failed to notice and a lack of physical players is reflected in the makeup of my roster.

This roster is almost the same as the one I had on draft day, I hate to admit making mistakes, is really the only justification I have for still holding Paajarvi but I look at what he did last year beginning in Dec. and still believe there is something there.

I added Abdelkader for hits after placing Perron on I.R.

Dropped Tedenby after a couple of weeks to add Moen for a bit more physicality and he paid off for a little while but given me nothing the last month or so.







Offense
Pos
Forwards/Defensemen


G A +/- PIM PPP GWG SOG HIT
C
Patrik Berglund (StL - C) No new player Notes


6 5 -4 8 1 1 58 33
C
Sam Gagner (Edm - C,RW) Player notes


3 9 0 15 4 0 48 9
C
Tyler Bozak (Tor - C) No new player Notes


6 12 2 16 7 0 43 33
LW
Ilya Kovalchuk (NJ - LW,RW) New player notes


9 12 -10 12 6 1 92
14
LW
David Perron (StL - LW) No new player Notes




1 2 -2 4 1 0 7 0
LW
Ryan Malone (TB - LW) Player notes


6 8 -2 20 5 1 50 47
RW
Evgeni Malkin (Pit - C,RW) Player notes


11 18 3
22 11 3 117 18
RW
Marian Gaborik (NYR - RW) Player notes


15 10 4 14 8 2 105 18
RW
T.J. Oshie (StL - C,RW) Player notes


9 10 6 20 3 1 65 33
W
David Jones (Col - RW) Player notes


7 7 -7 12 5 1 51 28
W
Lauri Korpikoski (Pho - LW) Player notes


6 6 3 8 0 1 61 26
W
Tyler Ennis (Buf - C,LW) No new player Notes


2 1 0
2 0 1 26 7
F
Frans Nielsen (NYI - C) No new player Notes


4 8 -1 2 3 1 42 3
F
Carl Hagelin (NYR - LW) No new player Notes


3 3 7 6 0 0 24 6
F
Justin Abdelkader (Det - LW) Player notes




2 4 1 22 0 1 42 59
D
Mark Streit (NYI - D) No new player Notes


2 14 -8 20
11 0 47 29
D
Dmitry Kulikov (Fla - D) Player notes


3 17 -3 16 8 1 54 42
D
Kyle Quincey (Col - D) No new player Notes


3 14 0
36 8 1 75 36
D
Stefan Elliott (Col - D) No new player Notes


3 1 -1 0 0 1 19 2
D
Mike Green (Was - D) DTD New player notes


3 3 1 0 3 1 18 7
D
Carlo Colaiacovo (StL - D) No new player Notes


1 6 4 4 3 1 13 11
BN
Brian Rolston (NYI - LW) No new player Notes


3 4 -6 4 1 1 66 28
BN
Travis Moen (Mon - LW) No new player Notes


8 2 3 28 0 0 32 48
BN
Braydon Coburn (Phi - D) No new player Notes




1 8
3 26 0 0 35 52
BN
Andrej Sekera (Buf - D) No new player Notes


1 5 2 12 0 0 30 19
BN
Magnus Paajarvi (Edm - LW) No new player Notes


0 3 -2 2 0 0 48 9
IR
Peter Regin (Ott - C,LW) Player notes


1 2 3 2 0 0 8 4
BN
Matt D'Agostini (StL - RW) DTD New player notes


6 5 13 10 2 2 54 19

Choosing 9th in our snake draft I was thrilled to get the player I have long (at least 3 years) believed to be truly the all around best in the game Evgeni Malkin.

While their were a couple of hiccups to begin the season he is starting to look like the old Geno again.

Evgeni Malkin is obviously #1 of my 12 long term keepers and not one I would want to trade

My thoughts on the other 11

2nd rd Mike Green I thought drafting the best young forward and offensive d-man in the league was a smart move at the time (still not admitting it was a mistake) and I don't think trading him is viable option at the moment

3rd rd I picked up Ilya Kovalchuk (who if he played every game the way he played last night vs the Panthers would be the most dangerous player in the game) he is heating up right on schedule

4th pick Marian Gaborik who if he can stay in the lineup for the entire season is a threat to be a top 10 player but should I move him while he is hot and healthy or are the Rangers depth and post season possibilities enough to keep him healthy.

Basically my top 4 picks I like to believe are all top 10 offensively capable Malkin and Kovie most of all.

The others as of now

5 (10th rd) David Perron (probably could have gotten him later but I thought he was the best Blues player before his concussion and hopefully will be again by the end of this year),

6 (8th rd) Tyler Ennis (not having seen many Sabre games, their announcers are really annoying, I didn't realize how small he really was, still I like the way he flies around the ice.

7 & 8 (12th & 13th rd) T.J. Oshie and Patrik Berglund I really had these 2 pegged for breakout years and top 40 if not better offensive numbers Oshie seems to be coming around hopefully Berglund will as well they do seem to be playing a much more physical game the last few weeks.

I waited on goaltending till 5th rd and grabbed my hopefully #1 for years to come James Reimer then in the 6th rd Craig Anderson because I wanted at least 2 keepers with solid starting gigs, wish it had been Mike Smith right now but given Anderson's history he can turn it around in a minute and stay hot for long stretches.

Pos Goaltenders



W GAA SV* SA* SV% SHO
G Craig Anderson (Ott - G) New player notes



13 3.36 719 802 .897 0
G Josh Harding (Min - G) DTD New player notes



7 2.14 331 355 .932 1
G Tuukka Rask (Bos - G) New player notes



6 1.82 293 312 .939 1
BN James Reimer (Tor - G) New player notes



5 2.75 233 259 .900 1
BN Cory Schneider (Van - G) No new player Notes



7 2.02 365 391 .934 2

* not counting stats

My other future starters Rask (9th rd), Schneider (11th rd), and Harding, a waiver pickup in the first week don't know why anyone would drop him in a league that starts 3 goalies, are keeping me very competitive top 1/3 in all goal stats and that was all I was looking for.

My #9 keeper is a keeper James Reimer providing he proves as I believe he will that last season was no fluke to fill the other 3 slots

Tuukka Rask and Cory Schneider both have future #1 written all over them and Harding if he could stay healthy might be better than either one. Anderson if he comes up with a 2nd half comparable to last season would be difficult not to keep.

Sam Gagner (I wish he had Berglund's size) is a much more talented player than his draft position and early ankle injury slow start indicates, knowing how good depends somewhat on who he is skating with, I drafted him hoping the Oilers would deal him for a d-man so he could be a top line center somewhere as it looks like RNH has it locked down for now. Being on his wing isn't a bad place to be either. But Hall is back soon and what happens then??

Dmitry Kulikov and Stefan Elliott both look to be the real deal and good puck moving 1st unit PP d-men with hard accurate shots are hard to come by.

I really liked David Jones, Frans Nielsen, Peter Regin, Lauri Korpikoski, Magnus Paajarvi, Matt D'Agostini, Tyler Bozak and Kyle Quincey all as super sleeper type 45+ point guys this season.

Jones started well but so far only Q and Bozak have had any kind of sustained success, so far, which makes trading difficult as I believe they all are still better than their stats so far indicate.

Two problems at the moment

1) I am slowly climbing in Offensive cat's in 8th place (none of my players had that Kessel or Versteeg type start) but am falling perilously behind in 13th (4 pts) PIM's and 14th (3 pts) Hits

2) Perron, Gagner, Ennis, Colaiacovo, Regin, and Reimer all coming off I.R. at about the same time, I am 3 over the roster limit (I have my lineups set thru New Years) so I can neither drop or pickup without messing that up) so I have to either make a trade or drop 3 players to utilize my rosters in full.

There are some obvious droppable but I would prefer trading a few players to upgrade a position and add Hits and PIM's Ryan Malone really needs some help.

Paajarvi - is it an irrational hope that he will find his game again.

Moen (DTD) - has not done anything for 3 weeks now hurt

Andrej Sekera - not much help really

Braydon Coburn and Justin Abdelkader (but they hits people and I need that)

Brian Rolston might be an elder but still has PP time and puts the puck on net.

Carl Hagelin is my new man crush so leave him out of it. Is he faster than Ennis

So if you made it this far (I quit proofing halfway through) you likely believe I am insane but I can assure you I am not.

Your suggestions will be analyzed with just as much thought as I gave to the post.

Comment 10 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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Like your goalies. You’ve got some decent talent for this year and things are looking really promising for the future.

You’ve got some good talent up front with Malkin, Green, Kovy and Gabby but they have some pretty big question marks with injury, etc. I don’t see too much upside with your lower guys. I’d unload them and try to start grabbing as many guys with potential as you can. I think you’ll struggle to win this year but you have a few good guys you can build around… especially in net.

I’d probably try to sell high on these guys via trade…
Tyler Bozak (Tor – C)
David Perron (StL – LW)
Kyle Quincey (Col – D)
James Reimer (Tor – G)

and I’d look to drop these guys out right:
Lauri Korpikoski (Pho – LW) Player notes
Carlo Colaiacovo (StL – D) No new player Notes
Brian Rolston (NYI – LW) No new player Notes
Travis Moen (Mon – LW) No new player Notes
Andrej Sekera (Buf – D) No new player Notes
Magnus Paajarvi (Edm – LW) No new player Notes
Peter Regin (Ott – C,LW) Player notes

It’s really hard to say which of those guys you should drop as I don’t know what kind of quality you have on the wire (if any). I would be hopeful you could find at least a few guys better than above on the wire.

Fantasy Hockey Scouts: a fantasy hockey blog on SB Nation
 

by jaymeyer on Dec 14, 2011 8:22 PM EST reply actions  

thanks for reply

16 team league 30 roster spots = 480 active players the highest ranked player on the wire and I won’t waste a claim on him is Andrew Ference as he doesn’t really address either of my real needs in PIM and Hits, if he clears waivers I would pick him up for Sekara though next would be Tanner Glass who does address those 2 areas but in order to pick him up I would have to drop 3 players to get him, as I am over roster size limit.

Colaiacovo is useful in this deep a league when healthy good on PP and will jump into the offense.
Korpikoski would be the highest scoring player on the wire if I dropped him right now.
I admit I know next to nothing of Regin but it seems he has excellent position on the 2nd line with Alfredson and a surprising Foligno and is on the PP unit. He has 4 points through 7 games and that is quite good for a 15th forward which is how many we run out. daily.

Perron has a ways to go before I could sell him for anything approaching what value I believe he will have after he gets back in stride,
Bozak and Quincy are the 2 I thought as well though if Colorado doesn’t improve that window might slam shut.
Reimer

by MasterOfPuppets on Dec 14, 2011 9:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Wow… that was an epic FanPost!

Looks like a pretty decent squad that is built to last… your big guns aren’t that old and you’ve got some nice young pieces in guys like Berglund, Ennis, Kulikov, Elliott, Rask & Schneider.

I like the goalies as well, in a 16 team league that is a pretty sweet group and could be even better in a few years.

Soft team though, really need to do what you can to add some PIMs & hits… don’t look for a one-stop solution but in any trades your thinking of or FA adds, try to upgrade those areas a little.

You’ve definitely got a lot of injury risks… probably not much you can do about that but stock up on depth and pray a lot.

I would drop any of Moen, Rolston, Sekera, Adbelkader and maybe Korpikoski & Nielsen as there isn’t much upside with any of them.

Good Luck!

SBN Fantasy Hockey Blog: Fantasy Hockey Scouts

by Cam Collingwood on Dec 15, 2011 3:28 PM EST reply actions  

I prefer the term

Highly skilled when referring to my soft players umm skill guys.
Korpikoski scored another goal tonight and Nielsen an assist each have 13 points on the season.
Nielsen sees plenty of PP time and that’s not something normally found on our wire.
I think the problem with them is they aren’t flashy enough they don’t have hot streaks.
They get 1 point here and 1 point there and by the end of the year they will have 40 or so points each that’s not to bad for a 15th forward

by MasterOfPuppets on Dec 16, 2011 12:27 AM EST up reply actions  

W O W !!!

this did take a while.

i agree w/ Jay on your 3 drops
of his list, i would go with 3 of these 4

Lauri Korpikoski (Pho – LW) Player notes
Carlo Colaiacovo (StL – D) No new player Notes
Brian Rolston (NYI – LW) No new player Notes
Peter Regin (Ott – C,LW) Player notes

Who is available on waivers/free agency?
Let’s make this post even more epic…?

by Diomedes7 on Dec 15, 2011 6:50 PM EST reply actions  

More Epic...ness ??

That is funny.
Now I know how Alexandre Dumas felt when he finally finished writing The Count of Monte Cristo

Brian Boyle was just dropped today for Leland Irving.
If he clears waivers he can help me a bit.
He puts up a few PIM’s & Hits not a lot but more than anyone else on my roster and he is a plus-5.
Boyle was skating with Mitchell and Hagelin, but tonight I saw Hagelin with Richards and Gaborik no points… but very interesting .

Andy Sutton is on the wire, picked him up before and he went on IR then got off and got suspended before I got him back in my lineup might try him again when he comes off suspension though he may come back a little tamer.

That I am looking at these 2 as the best available options should tell you something of what is there.

Some of the most interesting are Brandon Sutter, Sean Bergenheim, Brett Connolly, Eric Fehr, Jeff Petry, basically nothing useful.

by MasterOfPuppets on Dec 16, 2011 12:40 AM EST reply actions  

Sutter, Connolly and Fehr seem interesting to me.

They might not contribute right away (particularly Connolly as he’s on the WJ team) but they all have long term upside.

Guys like:
Lauri Korpikoski, Carlo Colaiacovo, Brian Rolston (who is injured now, I believe), Peter Regin ,Travis Moen, Andrej Sekera…. all have no upside dump them.

I’d hang onto Pajarvi based on this year WW… especially if you can swallow the bench spot.

Fantasy Hockey Scouts: a fantasy hockey blog on SB Nation
 

by jaymeyer on Dec 16, 2011 9:36 AM EST reply actions  

I think we differ a little on the structure of roster

I just recently (yesterday) noticed the SB Nation players pages and on the right side they have a little scouting report.
Don’t know who is doing the scouting or how accurate, but it’s a nice little feature.
Here is what it says of Korpikoski and Sutter (both of which I have no real basis, never really watched them play Coyotes are boring and ’Canes are just bad,

Korpikoski
Assets: Speed is his best attribute, which he uses with aplomb in defensive situations. Plays with lots of energy and spunk. Versatile, he can play all three forward positions and kill penalties. Is also adept in the face-off dot.
Flaws: Lacks a little confidence in the scoring department at the highest level. Has good hands but isn’t a feared shooter, since he doesn’t use that aspect of his game enough to his advantage.

Sutter
Assets: Plays a mature game with two-way tendencies. Is a natural leader with a great frame to grow into for the National Hockey League. Plays with more grit and confidence with each coming season. Can shut down opposing centers. Will become more effective offensively as he gains further experience.

Flaws: Needs to become a little more confident in the offensive zone, and differ (should be defer) less to his linemates when on the attack. Must also continue filling out his lanky 6-3 frame.

They sound very similar to me. both are on nearly the same points pace this season

Korpikoski, while playing with inferior linemates is ahead slightly 13 to 12

Carolina has played 2 more games than Phoenix

Sutter does seem to see some PP time (he has 1 PPG) but only Korpikoski is listed as being on a unit at this time (according to F911 and DailyFaceoff)

Korpikoski is a plus-3 29 hits

PIM for both are only 8

Sutter is minus-7 with 20 hits.

Neither would make the 12 keeper cut after the end of the season.

Korpikoski is the better play this season

by MasterOfPuppets on Dec 16, 2011 2:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Thanks Jay, Cam & Dio for all your input

And for taking the time required to do so

Rolston’s injury made the decision to drop him pretty easy

Paajarvi demoted, If I have someone placed on IR I will pick him back up, but for now I think he is safe on the wire

Zack Kassian was just dropped so I have put in my claim for him while dropping Moen, hopefully I get him.

I have developed a deeper appreciation for under the radar grinders like Korpikoski during this exercise however, and believe I have a better idea of how to build and maintain this team.

by MasterOfPuppets on Dec 18, 2011 4:05 PM EST reply actions  

great job, yeah there is definitely potential here. Nice, yeah I’d definitely grab Kassian, surprised he was dropped.

Good Luck!

SBN Fantasy Hockey Blog: Fantasy Hockey Scouts

by Cam Collingwood on Dec 18, 2011 11:54 PM EST up reply actions  

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