Blogger's Breakouts 2011 - Detroit Red Wings
Another day, another BB. Today we've got Graham (aka Amerinadian) from the great Wings site Winging it in Motown in to talk a little fantasy puck as our Wings expert.
We asked Graham seven fantasy questions related to the Wings. Check below for his answers and make sure to pay the guys at WiiM a visit.
Click here for more Blogger's Breakouts.
If you're interested in FHS' breakout picks and fantasy take on the Wings check out our draft kit which includes The Breakout Bible, the Fantasy Scouting Report (with SuperStats included) and our Fantasy Prospect Database.
BY GRAHAM (aka AMERINADIAN) from WINGING IT IN MOTOWN
Q1) Detroit's Breakout of the Year?
I'm assuming you're not talking about bigger players like Pavel Datsyuk and Henrik Zetterberg. The player that all Wing fans are going to be watching this year is Valtteri Filppula, and from recent reports it sounds like he may be moving from center to wing and will play with Zetterberg and Franzen, at least to start the year. He has been a guy that many fans thought had 70-point potential, but injuries and inconsistent play have hampered him in the past. He knows he needs to produce, and this is his year to show he deserves his $3M cap hit. I think that he hits at least 60 points this year.
Q2) Darkhorse Breakout on Detroit?
Darren Helm is beloved in Wing fans' eyes because he works hard, plays in tough situations like killing penalties, and is one of the fastest skaters in the league. However, this year could be the year that he shows an offensive upside that has been lacking. In 2 full seasons he only has 23 goals, but there are many who believe that he could see time as the second-line center by the end of the year, which would result in increased production. Personally, I believe that Helm has 20-goal potential, but it remains to be seen whether this is the year he reaches that mark.
Q3) League-Wide Breakout of the Year?
One guy I've always liked is Mikko Koivu, but he's never had any decent offensive talent around him before this year. The additions of Dany Heatley and Devin Setoguchi should give Koivu some weapons he hasn't had before, and I could see him playing at a PPG pace.
Q4) Player likely to Breakdown on Detroit?
Unfortunately, I'd have to go with Johan Franzen here, which is a shame because I love the guy. After he tore up the league in the second half of the 2007-08 season and playoffs, big things were expected of the Mule. The following year he scored a career-high 34 goals, but a torn ACL 3 games into the 2009-10 season caused him to miss over 50 games. It was expected that if he stayed healthy, he could score 40 goals. Last year, he scored 5 goals in the first game after the All-Star break, giving him 26 at that point. He then went goal-less over the next 14 games, and only scored 2 more the rest of the regular season. Injuries are always a concern with Franzen, and he has a tendency to look disinterested during the regular season, and he's not effective when he's not going to the tough areas to score.
Q5) Best Fantasy Prospect on Detroit?
Before this preseason, the answer would have been Jan Mursak, but he's out for the next 3 months with a fractured leg. Right now, Gustav Nyquist is really turning heads in Detroit with his play in the preseason. He was a scoring machine at Maine, leading the team in points all 3 years, and will spend this year in Grand Rapids playing for Detroit's AHL team, the Griffins. He's small, but in today's NHL size is not as important as it was. Detroit is known developing prospects and making them NHL-ready before joining the big club, but Nyquist could be on the team as early as next year.
Q6) How do you see Detroit's Goalie Situation playing out this year?
This is Jimmy Howard's team, and barring injury, he will start 60+ games again this season. Entering his third season, he has proven he can win games, but will be looking to improve on his .908 SV% and 2.79 GAA from a year ago. The defense in front of him is better, so both stats should get better. Ty Conklin is his backup, and he will see about 20 starts. The Wings don't like to overwork any one goalie, and Conklin was successful in his last stint in Detroit in 2008-09. He should post around a 2.50 GAA and .910 SV%.
Q7) Pavel Datsyuk & Henrik Zetterberg: together or apart this year?
The age-old question, eh? Well, it certainly appears that they will start the season on different lines, with Datsyuk centering line 1A and Zetterberg on line 1B. Personally, I like seeing them play on different lines because it spreads out the offense, but there's no denying they have a special chemistry, and when playing together they are one of the best lines in the NHL. I think if Mike Babcock has his way and the players play the way they can, Dats and Z will spend most of the year on different lines, but will be put together when the Wings need a spark or a goal quickly.
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Hey Graham (or anybody),
What are your thoughts on Jiri Hudler and Brendon Smith?
I’ve got a hunch that Hudler still has 60 point potential in there somewhere. After his disaster of a season last year he should come cheap.
Sucks that Smith is out for the firth five but do you think he’ll make the team and contribute this year? Looks to be a special player.
Fantasy Hockey Scouts: a fantasy hockey blog on SB Nation
Smith hasn’t played well enough in pre-season and camp to displace the existing top seven, never mind the top six. He’ll most likely start out in Grand Rapids and get a few cups of coffee in case of injuries. He still needs to work on his decisionmaking in his own zone, making fast and easy first passes and deciding when to go for a big hit or not.
Agreed
Smith is still the Wings’ number 1 prospect on defense, and he’s got the tools to be an anchor on the Wings’ defense once Lidstrom retires, but he’s got some maturing to do.
Hudler took a long time to readjust to the NHL after being out for a year, but in the second half of the season he started to put it together. The problem with him is that he doesn’t have the skill to be a difference maker on his own, and needs better linemates to be successful. I think he’s got 20-goal, 50-point potential, but it’s very hit or miss for him.
There is no way in hell Mursak would have been considered Detroit’s best fantasy prospect before he went down. He was the closest to the show, yes, but with a limited ceiling. Several other prospects have WAAAAY more upside than Mursak.
completely agree, but I take some of the blame here for a confusing question as I think a lot of bloggers took it to mean which prospect is the closest to making the NHL roster this year.
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by Cam Collingwood on Oct 1, 2011 12:14 AM EDT up reply actions
Who are your top 5 Red Wings fantasy prospects?
It’s a great team to debate as there are so many intriguing names:
Here’s my top 5 from the Prospects DB:
1. B.Smith
2. Nyquist
3. Jarnkrok
4. Pulkkinen
5. Tatar
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by Cam Collingwood on Oct 1, 2011 12:18 AM EDT up reply actions
Really, really like the top two guys on that list.
The big problem with the Wings is they take so long for their prospects to get a legit shot. Looks like we’ll be getting a changing of the guard soon (Homer, Bertuzzi, etc) so maybe that will change.
Fantasy Hockey Scouts: a fantasy hockey blog on SB Nation
i can’t believe they won’t give B Smith some time while Lidstrom is still playing.
behind Commodore 64 and Kindl? Really?
I think they’ll figure it out eventually. Maybe it’s just lip service to take the pressure off the kid.
Fantasy Hockey Scouts: a fantasy hockey blog on SB Nation
The reasoning is that Smith still needs seasoning, and won’t get the playing time necessary to his development in Detroit. I think next year (when Lidstrom likely retires) will see Smith make the team and start his career.
Nyquist has been extremely impressive in camp. He’s still got some growing to go, but he’s fast, skilled and has good offensive instincts. Looking back at the question, I would say that he’s the Wings’ number 1 fantasy prospect.
Sweet… thanks Amerinadian
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by Cam Collingwood on Oct 2, 2011 11:33 AM EDT up reply actions

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