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Fantasy Top Ten - League Wide Breakouts

#7 in your programs... #3 on our list.

We know you fantasy owners love a good list so we put together a whole whack of them in both our Fantasy Scouting Report and our Breakout Bible.

We've decided to reproduce a few of them on the site to drum up a bit more business and more importantly to generate a bit of discussion.

So this is only going to work if we get a ton of comments.  So the 90% of you that are reading this but never comment... let's here what you have to say.  Love the list?  Hate it?  Somebody we forgot?  Let us know.

We'll start out with probably the most important list we develop...
The Top 10 Breakouts from the Breakout Bible
(to see the Top 40 and much more, pick up a copy of the Bible here)

Follow the jump for the whole list...

Star-divide

We're all about the breakouts here at FHS.  To us, a player officially breaks out when he tops 50 points for the first time (or 30 for a dman and 20 wins for a goalie).  Here are the Top 10 players we think have the best chance of hitting the magic fifty number this season.

1)        Evander Kane, LW, WPG : 70 pts
Picked up 43 last year in 2nd NHL season so it's not a question of if he'll pass 50, it's by how much.  He also brings the PIM's and shots.

2)        Taylor Hall, LW, EDM :  65-70 pts
He played at a 53 point pace last year so if it wasn't for his ankle injury he wouldn't even be on this list.  Expect improvements on last year with a chance at 70 points.

3)        Dmitry Kulikov, D, FLA : 40-45 pts
The additions of Campbell and Jovanovski make things a bit complicated but we're hopeful the Panthers give Kulikov enough PP time to breakout.

4)        Semyon Varlamov, G, COL : 30-34 wins
Varly is a talented goalie and even though the Avs aren't as strong defensively as the Capitals the only thing that will keep him from 30 wins is injuries.

5)        Tyler Ennis, LW, BUF : 60-65 pts
The Sabres loaded up but Ennis should still hang onto his scoring line role.  His 49 points as a rookie last year make him one of the easiest breakout picks to make.

6)        Jordan Eberle, RW, EDM : 60-65 pts
Like Hall, injuries kept Eberle from a potential 50 point season so this year. if he can stay healthy, he'll make the breakout official.  Lots of upside.

7)        Cody Franson, D, TOR : 40 pts
Great pick up by the Leafs and the move helps Franson's fantasy value as he's no longer stuck behind Weber and Suter.  He'll still need to steal some PP time from Phaneuf and Liles but with 29 pts last year we think he's up for the challenge.

8)        James van Riemsdyk, LW, PHI : 60 pts
Had a good 2nd NHL season (40 pts) but really stepped up in the playoffs (seven goals in 11 games).  With Richards and Carter gone JVR has a definite spot on a scoring line and should see his TOI and PPTOI increase dramatically.

9)        Blake Wheeler, RW, WPG : 55-60 pts
Project his Atlanta numbers over a full season and you get 61 pts, 278 shots and 50 PIM's. 

10)    T.J. Oshie, RW, STL : 55-60 pts
We're huge TJ fans and if he's staying healthy he's breaking out... as simple as that.  One day he'll be a 70 point player.

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My two cents

I’m not as high on Evander Kane and Kulikov as Cam is.

I do like their potential but I’m worried that Kane won’t get the quality linemates or minutes (since he’s behind Ladd) to hit Cam’s projection. 50-55 points? Sure. 70? I can’t see it.

As for Kulikov, similar story. I’ve already gone on record with this one. With Jovo-Cop and Campbell around I’m thinking Kulikov won’t get the big PP minutes he’ll need. Of course it will be a miracle of Jovo goes the whole season without injury. 30 points? I can see that. 40? Seems too high to me.

Two player I do like to breakout (although I wouldn’t put them above anybody on this list) are Zac Dalpe and Grant Clitsome. Dalpe’s been a guy I’ve been talking up for awhile and is having a good camp. Could end up playing with Staal to boot.

Another

Fantasy Hockey Scouts: a fantasy hockey blog on SB Nation
 

by jaymeyer on Sep 30, 2011 7:44 PM EDT reply actions  

alright tough-guy, well who is it going to be then?… who will be the player who comes from below 50 points and puts up 70+??? It happens every year and someone will do it again this year…

2010/11 – Giroux 76 pts (47 the prior year) (ranked #6 in 2010 Breakout Bible)
2009/10 – Stamkos 95 (46) (ranked #1 in 2009 Breakout Bible)
2008/09 – Krejci 73 (27) (ranked #6 in 2008 Breakout Bible)

I’m giving you a big clue here… it’s going to be someone on the list above.

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by Cam Collingwood on Oct 1, 2011 11:51 AM EDT up reply actions  

digging the claws in! i like

by slicktee519 on Oct 1, 2011 1:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

Taylor Hall should have no problem. I also like Ennis’ chances.

But the guy I think you’re severly underestimating on this list is TJ Oshie. He just needs to stay healthy.

Fantasy Hockey Scouts: a fantasy hockey blog on SB Nation
 

by jaymeyer on Oct 1, 2011 6:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

Other breakouts

I can’t agree on Franson because you completely lose out on any +/- with that team and I can’t endorse Varlamov knowing so little about him. Anderson was a success and failure in COL so Varly could go either way.

I would like to see Wolski on this list. He’s on the top line with richards and gaborik right now and if he can cement a spot there he could score 60-70 points.
Also seeing anyone from the NYI would be nice. Nielson, Moulson and Grabner could breakout this year although I will admit the +/- problem is there with any player on the Island

by Willis on Oct 1, 2011 11:16 AM EDT reply actions  

Re: Franson – I’m really just looking at points here but you’re right that the plus/minus might suck.

Varlamov is very talented, just needs to stay healthy and he’ll put up a lot of wins this year.

Wolski has topped 50 points twice in his career, so we don’t consider him to be a breakout candidate… definitely could be a sleeper but we’re a little anal with our breakout definition.

Moulson & Grabner broke out last year by our definition and while we really gave Nielsen strong consideration but we think he was playing a little over his head last year and he fell just shy of our top 50 breakout candidates. We did have four Islanders in the top 50 though:

Hamonic #11
Comeau #35
Montoya #39
A.MacDonald #41

SBN Fantasy Hockey Blog: Fantasy Hockey Scouts

by Cam Collingwood on Oct 1, 2011 11:59 AM EDT up reply actions  

Montoya! I knew you were a closet fan.

Fantasy Hockey Scouts: a fantasy hockey blog on SB Nation
 

by jaymeyer on Oct 1, 2011 6:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

I predicted 14-18 wins as I assume he’ll get some starts once RDP gets hurt… if that makes me a fan, then I guess I am.

SBN Fantasy Hockey Blog: Fantasy Hockey Scouts

by Cam Collingwood on Oct 2, 2011 11:27 AM EDT up reply actions  

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