New Jersey Devils Top 5 Fantasy Prospects
Hey all! This is the first installment of my attempt to compile a top 5 fantasy prospect list for each team in the NHL - starting with the Atlantic Division.
As such, I am no expert nor am I pretending to be. If you think I left someone out, listed someone too high, or not high enough please leave a comment or shoot me an email. I'm always up for a friendly debate.
Anyway, here we go!
1. Adam Larsson – D – NHL: 46gp 2g 13a 15p 18 PIM -6
Larsson was expected to jump right into the Devils lineup and contribute but he has quickly established himself as their top defenseman. He is currently averaging 21:46 of ice time per game and as he gains experience I expect that number to jump into the 25 minute range. The offense has not been there quite yet but that will come with time. He is never going to put up huge offensive numbers anyway. New Jersey could really use a veteran defenseman to mentor Larsson (think Sergei Gonchar mentoring Kris Letang and Alex Goligoski) and take some pressure off of the 18 year old.
Fantasy: One of the best young defenseman to own, Larsson will soon be a 25 minute workhorse that will play in all situations. He could stand to shoot the puck more (he’s barely over 1 sog per game).
Upside: 5g 45a #1 defenseman
2. Jon Merrill – D – NCAA: 6gp 0g 4a 4p 2 PIM Even
Merrill is another defenseman built in the same mold as Adam Larsson. He is a great skater adept at both ends of the rink but like Larsson, lacks the high end offensive game of some defensive prospects like a Ryan Ellis. Merrill was expected to challenge for the title of best defenseman in NCAA hockey as well as lead the United States World Junior Classic Team to another medal but that was all derailed when he was suspended by the University of Michigan at the start of the season for a violation of team rules. He did not look rusty at the World Juniors despite not playing in much game action. I expect him to turn pro after the season and challenge for a roster spot on a weak Devils blueline.
Fantasy: Keep an eye on Merrill towards the end of the season. He could make the team next year and have a Justin Faulk-like rookie year but he could surprise if he gets onto PP1 with New Jersey.
Upside: 5g 35a top 4 stalwart
3. Adam Henrique – NHL: 43gp 13g 21a 34p 7 PIM +6
Henrique is very comfortable playing with high end talent like IlyaKovalchuk, Zach Parise, and Patrik Elias after playing most of his junior career with Taylor Hall, Ryan Ellis, Greg Nemisz, and Cam Fowler. He has had a great start to his NHL career but I am not as high on Henrique as others are. He is a solid #2 center who should approach 65p this season while playing both PP and PK. He is tied with Parise for the league lead in shorthanded points with 7.
Fantasy: Henrique should settle in as a #2 center long term but could push #1 depending on Zajac once he is fully healthy. Remember, Zajac and Parise have a great chemistry so it may benefit the Devils to pair Henrique with Kovalchuk to balance out the scoring. Regardless, he’s here to stay but his upside is not as high as fellow probable Calder nominee Ryan Nugent-Hopkins.
Upside: 25g 30a two way forward playing tough minutes
4. Scott Wedgewood – OHL: 18-6-3 2.65 GAA .918 SV% 3 shutouts
The Brodeur train is pulling into the station and Wedgewood is the only viable candidate in house to replace him. Frazee has fizzled out and the 2011 WJC member for Team Canada is the next in line. His stats are pretty decent but he is likely not a workhorse number 1 starter material in the NHL.
Fantasy: In another system, he would not make the top 5 list but New Jersey’s depth is very weak at goalie. This is a case of opportunity over upside. A New Jersey trade for a goalie along the lines of Schneider or Bernier could really hurt Wedgewood’s value.
Upside: Split starter like Luongo and Schneider have turned into.
5. Jacob Josefson – NHL: 9 gp 0g 1a 1p 2 PIM +1
Josefson had opportunity handed to him on a silver platter the past two seasons in the NHL due to injuries in New Jersey’s top 6 but he too got injured both times and his shot at a top 6 center role looks to be closed. While Zajac is still hurt, both Henrique and Elias are handling the center duties for the time being as Josefson has only recently returned from another serious injury.
Fantasy: Always touted for his excellent two way play, Josefson likely will not see much offensive upside at the NHL level. He will probably play the very tough minutes for Lou Lamoriello’s Devils and he will probably not get much time with Kovalchuk, Parise, or the other top forwards. However, he is worth keeping on your radar as he could rack up the FOW, shorthanded points, and will likely always have a good plus minus. He has some offensive skill as well so he could get into the 50 point range eventually.
Upside: 15g 30a with good plus minus.
Honorable Mentions:
Reid Boucher – One of the best shots in his draft class, Boucher has decent goal scoring potential if he can hone the rest of his game into an NHL product. He is currently having a disappointing year in the OHL.
Eric Gelinas – Gelinas is a much needed offensive defenseman who could pair with Merrill or Larsson on a top PP. Big skater at 6’ 3" helps his case as well.
Zach Boslett can be seen tweeting about fantasy hockey, Penguin hockey, and life as a college student here. Feel free to give a follow, say hi, or complain about how dumb I am. I'm open to it all!
He also writes for Faceoff-Factor.com, a Pittsburgh Penguin hockey website if that' sort of thing is to your liking.
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think Sergei Gonchar mentoring Erik Karlsson!
Now this is exactly the type of articles that FHS is missing. Thank you for helping make this the best FH site on the net. Can’t wait for your write-up of Ottawa’s prospects (Hint: if Silfverberg isn’t at 1 you’ve made a mistake). I’ve hear a lot of talk about Granlund and Tarasenko being the best players/prospects outside of the NHL right now, but IMO Silfverberg rivals them both.
Okay so now that I turned this NJ prospects article into an Ottawa prospect article my work here is done. FYI NJ really isn’t that interesting of a prospect pool.
Great Post!
I second Molando4’s comments.
Really enjoy learning about prospects.
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Thanks!
I didn’t really choose NJ… it just became the first team posted.
I started off doing division by division look and it ended up being 1000 words each team so we decided to break them up into each team.
Atlantic is first, New Jersey first team alphabetically in the Atlantic so that’s how we got here.
Northeast is after Atlantic so you’ll get your Ottawa team soon.
Silfverberg is certainly a great prospect and I’m going to keep him very low on my list so he’s still around when I draft for next season ;)
Welcome Zach
a veteran defenseman to mentor Larsson (think Sergei Gonchar mentoring Kris Letang and Alex Goligoski) and take some pressure off of the 18 year old.
I believe that is the reason Henrik Tallinder is there :-)
I guess this column would be dedicated to those in long term keeper leagues, and given that, you couldn’t have started with a worse choice than the Devils
Without Larsson, Henrique and Josefson (likely already taken in keeper leagues, never to return to Albany, rehab assignments excluded) they have probably the worst offensive prospects in the NHL !
I’m not sure where you draw the line between prospect and non-prospect
1. Henrique should move to RW if/when Zajac gets healthy his future is as a 2nd line 20-30 goal 60-70 point winger
2 Josefson NJ’s only true center prospect, assuming he gets healthy once and for all, can be the near ppg pivot, he’s a better skater, passer, and defender than Henrique, no way is he relegated long term to a 3rd or 4th line role
3 Larsson above average skater with good instincts he may become a good fantasy option in time, but he is years from that.
As you said….
He is never going to put up huge offensive numbers anyway….this kind of knocks him out of fantasy relevance.
I don’t know much of Merrill, other than he is from my home state, but reports that he is a poor skater do not give me much in the way of optimism considering the talent at the NHL level.
Wedgewood I suppose in a couple years he could be a possibility but for right now I don’t see him on the radar unless you have a really deep prospect pool.
Next up, I am guessing (alphabetical) will be the Isles, now there are some prospects let’s see what you got.
by MasterOfPuppets on Jan 31, 2012 6:43 PM EST reply actions
How could Tallinder take the pressure off of Larsson when he’s an unskilled, poor player? Doesn’t make sense. Unless you were being sarcastic?
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by Michael Benedicks on Jan 31, 2012 9:47 PM EST up reply actions
Tallinder
Yeah I was thinking a player someone would actually want teaching Larsson haha.
by Zach Boslett on Jan 31, 2012 10:58 PM EST up reply actions
Ok good, phew.
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by Michael Benedicks on Feb 1, 2012 9:07 AM EST up reply actions
Larsson etc.
I pegged Larsson at 50 points – not a slouch at all and definitely a worthy player to have on your fantasy roster. I just don’t see him as a Karlsson, Letang, Keith, Boyle, Visnovsky, Yandle type power play quarterback.
I will post a clarification on the next post about who is a prospect and who isn’t. I left it pretty open (especially with the Devils) for young players who have not made an impact quite yet or who are in their first season.
Let’s say under 75 NHL GP?
As for Josefson, I like him as a player but I just don’t see the offensive upside – especially in New Jersey. He has the skill but so does Martin Hanzal who will likely never reach his potential due to the role he plays.
I don’t see Josefson as coming close to “near ppg” in the NHL because I feel that term is thrown around way too liberally. Last season, only 14 players in the NHL scored “near ppg” (let’s say 75+ points).
Is Josefson going to outscore a player like Patrick Kane, Loui Eriksson, Anze Kopitar, Bobby Ryan, and Joe Thornton to name a few? Sorry I just don’t see it.
by Zach Boslett on Jan 31, 2012 11:09 PM EST up reply actions
near ppg would be 65+ or about .80 per game
lining up with Kovalchuk is a near ppg gig and that is where I believe he ends up.
Just ask Slava Kozlov, Todd White, Nic Antropov
I never said Josefson was as physically gifted as Kopitar,
I said that he was the best center prospect that NJ has.
Kovy + Josefson + anybody = many points
by MasterOfPuppets on Feb 1, 2012 1:53 AM EST up reply actions
Larsson
Love seeing Larsson as #1.
Full disclosure: I’m in a couple keeper leagues w/ Zach and own Larsson. (-;
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Larsson
Devils really lucked out winning the lottery and moving up get Larsson but a player like Strome or Couturier or Zibanejad might have been a good idea at that slot.
Just something to think about.
by Zach Boslett on Jan 31, 2012 11:15 PM EST up reply actions
P’raps. I think they made the right call though. Larsson is still a teenager!
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I have a feeling that even if they picked 1st (well maybe 2nd) they still would have picked Larsson.
They were (are) in desperate need for offensive d-men.
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Great Job Zach!
Looking forward to 29 more of these.
Interesting take on Josefson, I’ve always thought he had more upside than that but injuries have really clouded things lately and may have hurt his development.
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by Cam Collingwood on Feb 1, 2012 11:01 AM EST reply actions
yes injuries tend to make people forget and yet he is only 20.
Henrique’s emergence has also taken some focus from him, nobody remembers that JJ was the better prospect to begin with.
In fairness to Z, with the injuries Zajac, Henrique, Parise dilemma, and ownership/money situation surrounding the team, it’s difficult to see any big picture there.
I just watch Kovy, Elias and Zach, when they all play to their potential anyone with them enjoys fantasy success.
by MasterOfPuppets on Feb 1, 2012 12:20 PM EST up reply actions
He’ll be an interesting one to watch, as you said, the Devils’ situation and the fact that his development has been stunted by injuries may hold him back.
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by Cam Collingwood on Feb 1, 2012 3:31 PM EST up reply actions

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