The Trade Deadline is here!!!... for dudes like Bob McKenzie, Pierre McGuire, Eklund, etc. it's like Christmas morning, New Year's Eve and prom night all rolled into one delicious day. Methinks the hype around this has gotten a little out of control but it's still a fun day. I'll be around and will do my best to quickly analyze the fantasy relevant trades as they drop. I'll also be posting some thoughts and answering any questions people have in the comments section below so feel free to pop in and leave some thoughts in there.
We'll keep an ongoing summary of the players whose overall (short & long-term) value has been affected the most by trades (including deals over the past few weeks as well):
Five Biggest Winners:
1. Jeff Carter - This is mostly due to the fact that he's been so bad in Columbus moreso than how good he could be in LA. He has averaged .49 gpg & 4.2 shots/gm over the prior three seasons but just .38 & 3.4 so far this year... lots of room for those numbers to grow as long as Darryl Sutter doesn't mess him up.
2. Marek Zidlicky - I'm a big fan of this guy as he has been a consistent producer topping 30 points in six of the past seven seasons and 40 points in five of seven (he was playing a 43 point pace last year until injuries tanked his season). He goes from being a healthy scratch on the 29th highest scoring team to being the undisputed PP QB for a team that is middle of the pack in scoring & PP%.
3. Cody Hodgson - He goes from a bottom 6 role in Vancouver to a top six role in Buffalo lining up with some talent in guys like Ennis & Stafford. Good move for the short-term and great move for his long-term potential as he should get an opportunity to play a major role with a Sabres team that still has some good pieces.
4. Slava Voynov - He gets a huge boost with Jack Johnson's departure as his short-term value was essentially nil while he was stuck in the minors. He was called up immediately following the trade and will be asked to take over a large chunk of JJ's ES & PP time.
5. Derick Brassard - With the CBJs moving out their top two Cmen (Carter & Vermette), Brassy is handed the role and a healthy serving of PP time (including playing the point). Even before a boost, he's already playing better lately with 4+6=10 in his last 12 games.
HM: Pavel Kubina - This guy was a pretty consistent near-40 point guy until he took over a more defensive role with Tampa, so while he likely won't see big PP time in Philly, I like his chances to chip in a few more points while playing for the best offensive team in the league.
HM: Zack Kassian - Like the long-term boost for Kassian if he gets a chance to line up with the likes of Sedin or Kesler in a few years.
Five Biggest Losers:
1. Nikita Nikitin - Averaging 23 minutes of ice-time with 2:55 on the PP for the CBJs but Johnson's addition has to cut into that. Long-term, the CBJs have four dmen (Wiz, JJ, Tyutin & Methot) signed to long-term deals so not a lot of room for Nikitin to settle in.
2. Steve Downie - He has been very good in Colorado so far but long-term I think he'll miss riding shotgun with Stamkos.
3. Kyle Quincey - He goes from top pairing minutes & decent PP time in Denver to the 3rd pairing in Detroit. If Lidstrom & Stuart are gone after this season then his long-term value gets a boost.
5. Robin Lehner - He would have had a chance to start a few games this year with Anderson hurt but the addition of Bishop and his subsequent signing, it looks like Lehner will be in the AHL for the next year and a bit.
Deadline Day trade analysis after the jump...
Andrei Kostitsyn from MTL to NSH for picks: Never been a fan of this guy, lots of ability but about as much motivation as a glass of water. On pace for just 16 goals this year and only two in his last 28 games so he can only go up from here. It certainly can't get worse than playing with Scott Gomez either, so I guess lining up with Legwand & Smith on L2 will be an upgrade. I'm not really expecting anything great but Barry Trotz has squeezed a lot out of his brother so maybe he can work that magic again. Worth a shot if you're in a deep league.
Tom Gilbert from EDM to MIN for Nick Schultz: Schultz is a defensive guy, so no real impact there & Gilbert wasn't seeing much PP time lately so nobody on EDM really gains that much. I think this move could help Gilbert a little as the Wild need dmen that can chip in a little and Gilbert has done that in the past. Not sure if they see him as a PP guy (in the mix with Foster & Spurgeon) but it should be good for an extra few points on Gilbert's total.
T.J. Galiardi & Daniel Winnik from COL to SJ for Jamie McGinn & prospects: Galiardi looked like an up & comer a few years ago but was injured and then ended up lost in the Avs depth. Was only playing 13 mpg with 0:44 on the PP, so if he can get some shifts on L2 with Couture & Clowe and some PP time then he could surprise... but it's a longshot. Winnik is a plugger who should help the Sharks but not your fantasy team. I think McGinn has some untapped potential as well but the Avs are probably more interested in his physical presence on the 3rd line.
Cody Hodgson & Alexander Sulzer from VAN to BUF for Zack Kassian & Marc-Andre Gragnani: This one snuck in under the wire and surprised me as two top prospects/rookies get swapped. Good deal for both teams and both Hodgson & Kassian. Hodgson had his issues with the organization and wasn't going to be a top 6 forward for the next few seasons (if ever) in Vancouver. He goes to a Buffalo team that needs help at center and he immediately steps into the #2C role, love this move for him. Vancouver wanted some toughness and Kassian brings that but he's not just a goon as the kid has underrated hands and vision. Kassian has 15+11=26 in 30 AHL games this year and I think he could be a fantasy stud in a few years, so be patient. He should step into the Canucks lineup right away but I doubt he plays a major role.