FanPost

On Biased Score Keepers


Posted this on the FHS Bet league page. It may, or may not be of any help, but based on my small sample sized back of envelope calculations, it is... something. I don't know, maybe if you can get players that have more home games during the last few weeks, or had to choose between two similar players in a weekly league, it might help.

Earlier this year I made a flippant (as is my penchant) comment about some biased home scorer not giving one of my players a hit or shot. And then I seem to recall a article about certain teams scoring bias when it comes to those stats - Dallas for example, is pretty generous with giving their players credit for a hit IIRC. So, while watching the Kings/Canucks game at the Staples Center this afternoon and mentally tallying all the hits (god dammit Kadri just scored again, seriously? you're fucking killing me this week) ahem, where was I? Oh right, mentally tallying all the hits and shots my guys from Vancouver were accruing during the game and then I logged in after the game to check out their studly totals. But, much to my chagrin, they weren't nearly what I thought they'd be. So I went to the split stats home/away and broke out a pencil and a back of an envelope to see just how biased the scorers are over the season so far.

Granted, some teams have had an uneven amount of home/away games and certain players have been injured which may further skew their home/away splits but I figured (perhaps incorrectly) that it all kinda evens out. Anywho, first I just wrote down all the hits for home and then away games and figured out the difference and came up with 12 less hits for all my players during away games. - 12? That's it? well that doesn't seem too off - maybe it's not even an issue . Undaunted, I checked the shots and came up with a minus 101 home/away split and that's not an insignificant number. Then, just to see if other teams had the same issue I checked league leading Jsuites team and he is at - 97, and -98 for hits and shots home/away differential, and again, that is not an insignificant number. I didn't really check the teams/players where the differential was biggest, but The Rangers do seem to have some homerish scorers.

I'd do more teams, but I'm not that bored, there's live hockey on now, and those cold beers that aren't gonna drink themselves. If you're curious and do the math, post it here. I have now idea what this means, or if can be of any help whatsoever, but I did it, and here it is, so there, and you're welcome.

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