As promised in the Breakout Bible, we're monitoring our breakout predictions and breakout players all year long... so here's the March edition of the Breakout Tracker.
Attached is a file which gives you our Top 50 Breakout Candidates from the Breakout Bible 2009 and tracks how our pre-season predictions have fared so far, and also how some of our peers stack up. We base this on player stats thru April 1st and project a player's points over the full season and compare that to the predictions.
We strive to give you the best information and analysis we possibly can, so in the spreadsheet we've noted the picks as follows:
Good Picks (within 10% of a player's projected points) = Shaded Green
Decent Picks (between 10% & 20%) = Shaded White
Poor Picks (outside of 20%) = Shaded Red
Remember that most fantasy hockey websites will consider being within 10 or 20 points as being a good prediction (that is if they even publish how their picks are doing) but we think you deserve better, so we raise the bar.
We also provide you with a list of the top breakout players so far (thru April 1st). Remember that our definition of a breakout player is a forward that breaks 50 points for the first time, a dman who breaks 30 points for the first time or a goalie who establishes themselves as a starting goalie for the first time.
It's been a tough year for our breakout picks as beyond some highlights like Steve Stamkos and Jack Johnson, our picks haven't fared so well... with no thanks to guys like Claude Giroux, Zach Bogosian and Derick Brassard. I guess we can take some consolation in the fact that none of the fantasy hockey experts have really looked that good this year... but that's not the way we roll around here as we're trying to give you the best information possible, so we feel like we've let you down and promise to come out swinging next year to try to make it up to you.
Get the Breakout Tracker spreadsheet for free right here... Download Breakout Tracker_March10
For much more analysis on all our breakout players, you can still purchase our Breakout Bible 2009 for $6 by following this link.