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NHL Trade Deadline: Fantasy Analysis & Chat

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The Trade Deadline is here!!!... for dudes like Bob McKenzie, Pierre McGuire, Eklund, etc. it's like Christmas morning, New Year's Eve and prom night all rolled into one delicious day.  Methinks the hype around this has gotten a little out of control but it's still a fun day.  I'll be around and will do my best to quickly analyze the fantasy relevant trades as they drop.  I'll also be posting some thoughts and answering any questions people have in the comments section below so feel free to pop in and leave some thoughts in there.

We'll keep an ongoing summary of the players whose overall (short & long-term) value has been affected the most by trades (including deals over the past few weeks as well):

 

Five Biggest Winners:

1. Erik Johnson - I think he'll be counted on a lot more in Colorado than he was in StLoo and I still love the upside.

2. Dmitry Kulikov - I really like the the clearing out of McCabe & Wideman to open up a lot of ice-time and responsibilities to fall on the young Russian.

3. Dan Ellis - going from backing up Roloson to the temporary starter in Anaheim is an obvious boost, we'll see how he handles it. 

4. Dustin Penner - gets a nice boost as he goes from playing with Cmen like Horcoff, Gagner, Cogliano to playing with Kopitar... if we knew for sure that he's motivated then he'd be higher on this list.

5. Alexander Salak - went to Chicago in the Frolik trade, he's having a great year in the SEL and could find himself in the NHL next year whereas he was lost in the shuffle with FLA.  

Others who gained value: Alex KovalevAlex Goligoski, Jason Arnott, Joffrey Lupul, Michael FrolikDennis Wideman & Bryan McCabe.

 

Five Biggest Losers:

1. Rich Peverley - he was a top 6 forward and top PP unit guy in ATL but he (probably) won't be in Boston.

2. Stephane Robidas - he hasn't taken a hit yet as he's still seeing PP time with B.Richards out but when Richards comes back (assuming he's not traded) Robidas will likely lose valuable time to the newly acquire Goligoski.

3. Marc Staal - he had been seeing quite a bit of PP time for the Rangers but that will likely drop with McCabe around.  Michael Del Zotto is also affected by this but his value was already pretty low since he hadn't been playing much lately and has now been sent to the AHL.

4. Blake Wheeler - should get more opportunities in ATL but I think he'll miss taking feeds from a guy like Krejci.

5. Curtis McElhinney - not that he had a lot of value cause he's not that good but he went from fill-in starter in Anaheim to Norfolk in a flash.  UPDATE: Now he's headed to Ottawa on waivers, it's debatable whether this is an upgrade on Norfolk.

Others who lost value:  Kevin Shattenkirk, Steven Kampfer, Marcus JohanssonJack Skille, Kris Versteeg & Nikolay Zherdev

Deadline day trade analysis after the jump...

Niclas Bergfors from ATL to FLA for Radek Dvorak:  meh on Dvorak, he's useless, I like Bergfors but he seems to be an acquire taste so we'll see if the Panthers give him a chance to play, I have my doubts.  It's a lateral move for Bergfors but he hadn't been playing a lot but so it helps a little but I don't see this as increasing his value much.   

Dennis Wideman from FLA to WSH for a pick & a scrub:  Decent move for Wideman as he goes to a better team and should be a chance to play on the PP but the Caps aren't a great offensive team and although their PP is better than FLA, the Caps are only 25th on the PP.  I think he gains value but I don't see it as huge, I thought Corvo would really benefit going to the Caps last year as well but that didn't work out.  Again this really helps Kulikov, I'm loving this for him short-term and long-term... the Panthers PP is his.  This hurts John Carlson for the short-term as he's been filling in on the top PP unit (with Green out) so he could be bumped to the 2nd unit.

Scottie Upshall & Sami Lepisto from PHX to CLB for Rostislav Klesla:  This is a gain by default for Upshall (13 mpg/ 1:00 on PP) and Lepisto (16 mpg, no PP time) as neither played much in Phoenix and getting out of Dave Tippett's system can only help but I'm not sure how much it helps.  There's not a great option for the CBJs on the PP but there are a number of guys that Lepisto would have to leapfrog to get PP time, so I'm not optimistic there.  Not sure where Upshall would play, maybe with Umberger on the 2nd line, could be a decent move for him.  Klesla is a fantasy nobody. 

Dustin Penner from EDM to LA for Colten Teubert & picks:  I like this for Penner as he should get a chance to play on the top line with Kopitar in LA but I'm not sure about PP time.  But the issue is whether Penner is motivated, so that's a bit of a wildcard here, guess you gotta play the odds and hope his head in the game.  I like that this moves opens up a top 6 spot & PP time for Magnus Paajarvi.

Jason Arnott from NJ to WSH for David Steckel:  I tend to like Arnott but he is fragile and I've soured on him a little the past two years... is he still a decent 2nd line option?... I'm not sure.  He should get a chance to play with guys like Semin & Laich which would be a good situation but the Caps aren't a run & gun team anymore so I'm not sure how much of a boost this gives Arnott.  This hurts Marcus Johansson who had been playing on the 2nd line but he didn't have a ton of value in the short-term anyway.